Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo		Christopher Li

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.38	2.8	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.37	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.54)	2.74 ↑ (2.32)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
66.2%

Christopher Li
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo's performance.

Christopher Li has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christopher Li might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher Li than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Christopher Li could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Christopher Li Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aguilar Cardozo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 598. Li is ranked ATP: 1032.

Aguilar Cardozo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Li's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ITF Tournaments
30.11.25	Juan Estevez - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Felix Corwin - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
28.11.25	Maximo Zeitune - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
27.11.25	Francisco Tomas Geschwind - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	1:2 ✺
26.11.25	Mateo Carballo - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWW
- Christopher Li
ITF Tournaments
17.12.25	Oriol Roca Batalla - Christopher Li	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	Christopher Li - Valerio Aboian	1:2 ✺
11.12.25	Benjamin Torrealba - Christopher Li	0:2 ✺
10.12.25	Christopher Li - Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto	2:0 ✺
04.12.25	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Christopher Li	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWWL

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Christopher Li: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide