Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sofia 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday


	Joel Schwaerzler		Marat Sharipov

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.53	2.61
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.74)	2.37 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joel Schwaerzler
60.6%

Marat Sharipov
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joel Schwaerzler's performance.

Marat Sharipov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marat Sharipov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joel Schwaerzler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marat Sharipov than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marat Sharipov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Schwaerzler (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Joel Schwaerzler will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joel Schwaerzler will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Schwaerzler (votes: 8 - 80%). Sharipov (votes: 2 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 313. Sharipov is ranked ATP: 276.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sharipov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Schwaerzler might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Schwaerzler won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Challenger
21.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Franco Agamenone	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Joel Schwaerzler	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Joel Schwaerzler	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Joel Schwaerzler	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLL
- Marat Sharipov
ATP Challenger
21.08.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Marat Sharipov	1:2 ✺
20.08.25	Marat Sharipov - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Aryan Shah - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Denis Yevseyev - Marat Sharipov	Canceled
13.08.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.06.25	Marat Sharipov - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2
ATP Challenger
21.05.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov	2:0

Joel Schwaerzler - Marat Sharipov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide