Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - Final

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur		Samira De Stefano

	1	2
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.46	1.52
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.39	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.17)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
39.3%

Samira De Stefano
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Samira De Stefano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samira De Stefano than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samira De Stefano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Samira De Stefano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Steur is ranked WTA: 554. De Stefano is ranked WTA: 313.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

De Stefano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Stefano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
ITF Tournaments
18.04.26	Georgia Pedone - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ida Wobker - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Gaia Maduzzi - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur - Laura Hietaranta	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Deborah Chiesa - Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- Samira De Stefano
ITF Tournaments
18.04.26	Samira De Stefano - Beatrise Zeltina	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Alessandra Mazzola - Samira De Stefano	De Stefano S./Mazzola A. Retired ✺
17.04.26	Mariella Thamm - Samira De Stefano	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Greta Rizzetto - Samira De Stefano	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Samira De Stefano - Mika Stojsavljevic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 W?WWL

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