Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Arequipa (Peru), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 August 2024, Friday


	Johan Alexander Rodriguez		Guido Ivan Justo

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.95	1.73
	2.04	1.75
	1.97	1.75	Watch
	1.98	1.75	Watch
	1.95	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.6)	1.74 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Johan Alexander Rodriguez
46.8%

Guido Ivan Justo
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Johan Alexander Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Johan Alexander Rodriguez's performance.

Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guido Ivan Justo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Johan Alexander Rodriguez than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Johan Alexander Rodriguez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guido Ivan Justo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Guido Ivan Justo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 700. Justo is ranked ATP: 508.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Justo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Justo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Johan Alexander Rodriguez
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Frazier Rengifo	2:0 ✺
14.08.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.08.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Nicolas Mejia	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Salvador Price - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.08.24	Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Guido Ivan Justo
ITF Tournaments
15.08.24	Rocco Valente - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Luis Jose Nakamine - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.08.24	Facundo Mena - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.07.24	Guido Ivan Justo - Peter Bertran	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Lucas Andrade Da Silva - Guido Ivan Justo	Justo G. I. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WWLL?

Johan Alexander Rodriguez - Guido Ivan Justo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide