Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sioux Falls, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday


	Martin Damm		Andre Ilagan

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.42	2.65	Watch
	1.45	2.57	Watch
	1.44	2.68	Watch
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.45)	2.64 ↑ (2.54)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
64.8%

Andre Ilagan
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Andre Ilagan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andre Ilagan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Martin Damm - Andre Ilagan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 208. Ilagan is ranked ATP: 350.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Damm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Damm could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Damm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Andre Ilagan - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.39%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Alex Rybakov - Martin Damm	Canceled ✺
19.10.25	Rafael Jodar - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Johannus Monday - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Martin Damm - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Martin Damm - Oliver Tarvet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?LWWW
- Andre Ilagan
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Andre Ilagan - Brandon Holt	Holt B. retired ✺
17.10.25	Martin Damm - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Andres Martin - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Andre Ilagan - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Andre Ilagan - Edward Winter	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.10.25	Martin Damm - Andre Ilagan	2:1

Martin Damm - Andre Ilagan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide