Match Info

Date: 17 October 2022, Monday


	Jonas Forejtek		Salvatore Caruso

	1	2
	1.61	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.64	2.2
	1.61	2.14
	1.71	2.16
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.32	Watch
	1.63	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)	2.2 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jonas Forejtek
57.5%

Salvatore Caruso
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jonas Forejtek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Salvatore Caruso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonas Forejtek than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Jonas Forejtek - Salvatore Caruso Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Forejtek will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Caruso will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Forejtek: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Forejtek is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caruso is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Forejtek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Forejtek will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Caruso to win the game is with odds 2.22.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jonas Forejtek
ATP Challenger
13.10.22	Jonas Forejtek - Vasek Pospisil	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	Marko Topo - Jonas Forejtek	1:2 ✺
03.10.22	Arthur Cazaux - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
26.09.22	Jonas Forejtek - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Jonas Forejtek - Tim Handel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
14.10.22	Salvatore Caruso - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.10.22	Nicholas David Ionel - Salvatore Caruso	1:2 ✺
12.10.22	Salvatore Caruso - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
11.10.22	Salvatore Caruso - Steven Diez	2:0 ✺
10.10.22	Salvatore Caruso - Mathieu Scaglia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW

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