Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BARLETTA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Salvatore Caruso		Steven Diez

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.55	2.4
	1.63	2.32
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.23	Watch
	1.54	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.86)	2.31 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salvatore Caruso
59.6%

Steven Diez
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salvatore Caruso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salvatore Caruso's performance.

Steven Diez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Steven Diez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salvatore Caruso than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salvatore Caruso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steven Diez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Salvatore Caruso - Steven Diez Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caruso will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Diez will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Caruso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Caruso will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caruso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salvatore Caruso
ATP Challenger
04.04.23	Flavio Cobolli - Salvatore Caruso	0:2 ✺
03.04.23	Salvatore Caruso - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Salvatore Caruso - Lorenzo Carbone	2:0 ✺
26.03.23	Julian Ocleppo - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
23.03.23	Salvatore Caruso - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL
- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
04.04.23	Steven Diez - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Juan Bautista Torres - Steven Diez	Diez S. retired ✺
26.03.23	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Steven Diez	0:2 ✺
21.03.23	Steven Diez - Gastao Elias	1:2 ✺
15.03.23	Evan Furness - Steven Diez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.10.22	Salvatore Caruso - Steven Diez	2:0

Salvatore Caruso - Steven Diez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide