Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Darwin 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Joshua Charlton		Sam Ryan Ziegann

	1	2
			Watch
	1.40	2.65
	1.36	2.88	Watch
	1.39	2.71	Watch
	1.41	2.63	Watch
	1.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.3)	2.79 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joshua Charlton
67.1%

Sam Ryan Ziegann
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joshua Charlton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sam Ryan Ziegann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joshua Charlton than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Joshua Charlton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sam Ryan Ziegann than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sam Ryan Ziegann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Joshua Charlton - Sam Ryan Ziegann Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Ryan Ziegann (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ryan Ziegann (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Charlton is ranked ATP: 841., and Ryan Ziegann is ranked ATP: 852..

Charlton is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Ryan Ziegann has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Charlton carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joshua Charlton
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Joshua Charlton - Arjun Mehrotra	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Joshua Charlton - Derek Pham	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Aditya Vishal Balsekar - Joshua Charlton	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Ji Sung Nam - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Joshua Charlton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLL
- Sam Ryan Ziegann
ITF Tournaments
07.10.26	Luca Connaughton - Sam Ryan Ziegann	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Sam Ryan Ziegann - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.26	Filip Peliwo - Sam Ryan Ziegann	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Thantub Suksumrarn - Sam Ryan Ziegann	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Timofei Derepasko - Sam Ryan Ziegann	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL

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