Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Darwin 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Joshua Charlton		Arjun Mehrotra

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	3.70
	1.33	3.00	Watch
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.24	3.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.47)	3.46 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joshua Charlton
73.3%

Arjun Mehrotra
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joshua Charlton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joshua Charlton's performance.

Arjun Mehrotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arjun Mehrotra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joshua Charlton than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joshua Charlton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arjun Mehrotra than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arjun Mehrotra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Charlton is ranked ATP: 841., and Mehrotra is ranked ATP: 1428..

Recent results have been tough for Charlton (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Mehrotra have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Mehrotra may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Charlton is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Charlton has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 1:0 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joshua Charlton
ITF Tournaments
30.09.26	Joshua Charlton - Derek Pham	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Aditya Vishal Balsekar - Joshua Charlton	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Ji Sung Nam - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Joshua Charlton	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Joshua Charlton - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLW
- Arjun Mehrotra
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Hayden Jones - Arjun Mehrotra	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Arjun Mehrotra - Blake Ellis	Ellis B. Retired ✺
10.09.26	Arjun Mehrotra - Pablo Perez Ramos	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Arjun Mehrotra - Ha Minh Duc Vu	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Arjun Mehrotra - Digvijay Pratap Singh	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 L?LWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.03.25	Arjun Mehrotra - Joshua Charlton	0:2
11.12.23	Arjun Mehrotra - Joshua Charlton	Mehrotra A. retired

Joshua Charlton - Arjun Mehrotra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide