Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday


	Joshua Charlton		Takuya Kumasaka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.35	1.52	Watch
	2.37	1.57
	2.36	1.52	Watch
	2.35	1.54
	2.30	1.55	Watch
	2.33	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.34)	1.54 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joshua Charlton
39.7%

Takuya Kumasaka
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joshua Charlton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joshua Charlton than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Joshua Charlton - Takuya Kumasaka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Charlton is ranked ATP: 746. Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 540.

Charlton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kumasaka is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kumasaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kumasaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Charlton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joshua Charlton
ITF Tournaments
27.08.26	Joshua Charlton - Rigele Te	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Joshua Charlton - Weiyi Kong	Kong W. Retired ✺
26.08.26	Filip Peliwo - Joshua Charlton	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Joshua Charlton - Yusuke Takahashi	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Tianhui Zhang - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 L?WLL
- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
12.08.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Colin Sinclair	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Alexander Donski - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Joshua Charlton - Takuya Kumasaka	1:2

Joshua Charlton - Takuya Kumasaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide