Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Takuya Kumasaka		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
			Watch
	2.90	1.36
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.92	1.35	Watch
	2.85	1.35
	2.89	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.7)	1.36 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Takuya Kumasaka
31.9%

Luka Pavlovic
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Takuya Kumasaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Takuya Kumasaka - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 514. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 278.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Pavlovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pavlovic is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Takuya Kumasaka - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.15%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Takuya Kumasaka
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Asier Meneses Perny - Takuya Kumasaka	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Robin Bertrand - Takuya Kumasaka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWL
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
14.07.26	Yanki Erel - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Titouan Droguet - Luka Pavlovic	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Luka Pavlovic	1:2 ✺
02.07.26	Luka Pavlovic - Dimitar Kuzmanov	1:2 ✺
30.06.26	Luka Pavlovic - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW

Takuya Kumasaka - Luka Pavlovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide