Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Jozef Kovalik		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.84	1.93	Watch
	1.82	1.88
	1.9	1.92
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)	1.88 ↓ (1.95)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
50.3%

Francisco Cerundolo
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.9%	0%	24.1%

Jozef Kovalik - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Kovalik will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovalik: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Kovalik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cerundolo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
16.04.21	Damir Dzumhur - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
15.04.21	Jozef Kovalik - Facundo Bagnis	2:1 ✺
14.04.21	Jozef Kovalik - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
12.04.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
ATP Cagliari
07.04.21	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL
- Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
12.04.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
ATP Marbella
06.04.21	Facundo Bagnis - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
09.03.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Andrej Martin	0:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
07.03.21	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
06.03.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.04.21	Francisco Cerundolo - Jozef Kovalik	0:2

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