Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Jozef Kovalik		Giulio Zeppieri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.1	1.72
	2.15	1.71
	2.12	1.75
	2	1.73
	2.09	1.68	Watch
	2.08	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.24)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
45%

Giulio Zeppieri
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Giulio Zeppieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giulio Zeppieri than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Jozef Kovalik - Giulio Zeppieri Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kovalik will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Zeppieri will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zeppieri: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Kovalik is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zeppieri is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kovalik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Barcelona
19.04.23	Denis Shapovalov - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
17.04.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	Pol Martin Tiffon - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Marek Gengel - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.04.23	Jozef Kovalik - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWL
- Giulio Zeppieri
ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Alex Marti Pujolras	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.23	Marton Fucsovics - Giulio Zeppieri	2:1 ✺
ATP Estoril
04.04.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Joao Sousa	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Gianluca Mager	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Giulio Zeppieri - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

Jozef Kovalik - Giulio Zeppieri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide