Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen (Austria), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 May 2024, Thursday

Referee: Rungaldier E. (Aut)


	Jozef Kovalik		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.68	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.15
	1.73	2.15
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.07	Watch
	1.68	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.83)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
55.2%

Gustavo Heide
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jozef Kovalik's performance.

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gustavo Heide might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Jozef Kovalik - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Users Predictions: Jozef Kovalik will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Jozef Kovalik - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Billy Harris - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
23.04.24	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
16.04.24	Jozef Kovalik - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
14.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
07.05.24	Gustavo Heide - Arthur Gea	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Enzo Couacaud - Gustavo Heide	Canceled ✺
25.03.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gustavo Heide	Canceled ✺
24.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 W??WW

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