Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar (Croatia), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Zsombor Piros		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.86	Watch
	1.91	1.86	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.02)	1.84 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zsombor Piros
49.6%

Jozef Kovalik
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zsombor Piros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Zsombor Piros - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Piros will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Kovalik will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Piros is ranked ATP: 266. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 127.

Recent matches Piros is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kovalik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Piros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Piros won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Zsombor Piros - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Zsombor Piros - Edas Butvilas	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Dennis Novak - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Jelle Sels - Zsombor Piros	Sels J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWW?
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Matej Dodig - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.25	Yasutaka Uchiyama - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Dubai
22.02.25	Marton Fucsovics - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
15.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Belgrade 2
02.11.24	Zsombor Piros - Jozef Kovalik	1:2
ATP Challenger
14.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Jozef Kovalik	1:2
21.03.24	Zsombor Piros - Jozef Kovalik	1:2
30.03.23	Jozef Kovalik - Zsombor Piros	0:2

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