Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ASUNCION (PARAGUAY), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.81
	1.48	2.78
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.56	Watch
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.47)	2.64 ↑ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
64.3%

Gustavo Heide
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Gustavo Heide has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas Patino-Samudio in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Heide is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Heide could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Varillas Patino-Samudio will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Varillas Patino-Samudio to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
22.03.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Zanellato	2:0 ✺
19.03.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Liam Draxl - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWW
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
22.03.24	Alexander Weis - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Gustavo Heide	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Valerio Aboian - Gustavo Heide	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Gianluca Mager	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gustavo Heide: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide