Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BERGAMO (ITALY), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2022, Monday


	Jozef Kovalik		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	3	1.34
	3.1	1.35
	2.95	1.33
	3.22	1.36
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.4	1.28	Watch
	3.05	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.58)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
30%

Nuno Borges
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jozef Kovalik's form might have worsened.

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuno Borges's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuno Borges, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jozef Kovalik - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: Nuno Borges will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovalik is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Borges is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borges could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borges is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Napoli
16.10.22	Jozef Kovalik - Borna Gojo	Kovalik J. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.22	Jozef Kovalik - Timofey Skatov	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Vit Kopriva - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
07.10.22	Andrea Vavassori - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
05.10.22	Flavio Cobolli - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 ?LWWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
26.10.22	Luca Van Assche - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
24.10.22	Alexey Vatutin - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Napoli
20.10.22	Daniel Elahi Galan - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
18.10.22	Nuno Borges - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
29.09.22	Jannik Sinner - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.03.22	Jozef Kovalik - Nuno Borges	2:1

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