Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Doha (Qatar) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Jozef Kovalik		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
			Watch
	2.46	1.48	Watch
	2.63	1.5
	2.48	1.51
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.53	1.48	Watch
	2.46	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.16)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
37.3%

Pavel Kotov
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jozef Kovalik's form might have worsened.

Pavel Kotov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pavel Kotov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jozef Kovalik - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kovalik will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kotov will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovalik is ranked ATP: 125. Kotov is ranked ATP: 103.

Kovalik has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kotov is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kotov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kotov will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kovalik won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Jozef Kovalik - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Duje Ajdukovic - Jozef Kovalik	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Dino Prizmic - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.01.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Learner Tien - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 L?LLL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Brandon Holt - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.25	Jaime Faria - Pavel Kotov	3:0 ✺
ATP Adelaide
04.01.25	Pavel Kotov - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
29.12.24	Pavel Kotov - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
29.12.24	Pavel Kotov - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hamburg
22.07.23	Pavel Kotov - Jozef Kovalik	1:2
ATP Challenger
20.11.19	Jozef Kovalik - Pavel Kotov	2:0

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