Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open (USA) - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2024, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)


	Jozef Kovalik		Seong Chan Hong

	1	2
	2.75	1.4
	2.6	1.45
	2.75	1.39	Watch
	2.88	1.43
	2.67	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.82	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.26)	1.42 ↓ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jozef Kovalik
34.1%

Seong Chan Hong
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jozef Kovalik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jozef Kovalik's form might have worsened.

Seong Chan Hong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seong Chan Hong's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seong Chan Hong than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seong Chan Hong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Jozef Kovalik - Seong Chan Hong Predictions

Users Predictions: Seong Chan Hong will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kovalik is ranked ATP: 115. Hong is ranked ATP: 156.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hong could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hong will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Umag
20.07.24	Jozef Kovalik - Filip Misolic	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
15.07.24	Cameron Norrie - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Lukas Klein - Jozef Kovalik	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jozef Kovalik	0:2
07.07.24	Daniel Masur - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWW
- Seong Chan Hong
ATP Challenger
12.08.24	Mattia Bellucci - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
11.08.24	Valentin Royer - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Alex Bolt - Seong Chan Hong	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
31.07.24	Seong Chan Hong - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWLW

Jozef Kovalik - Seong Chan Hong: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide