Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 July 2025, Wednesday


	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar		Nicolas Arseneault

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.91	1.91
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.83	1.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.62)	2.01 ↓ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
53.3%

Nicolas Arseneault
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Nicolas Arseneault has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Arseneault than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Nicolas Arseneault Predictions

Users Predictions: Nicolas Arseneault will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolas Arseneault will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aguilar is ranked ATP: 409. Arseneault is ranked ATP: 714.

Recent performances by Aguilar have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arseneault is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Aguilar could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aguilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Santiago De La Fuente - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.06.25	Roberto Cid Subervi - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	Aguilar J. C. M. retired ✺
13.06.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Adit Sinha	Sinha A. retired ✺
12.06.25	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Nicholas Godsick	Godsick N. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LW???
- Nicolas Arseneault
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Yusuke Takahashi - Nicolas Arseneault	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Ryan Fishback - Nicolas Arseneault	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.07.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Aidan McHugh	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Karl Poling - Nicolas Arseneault	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.03.25	Nicolas Arseneault - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	2:0
24.10.23	Nicolas Arseneault - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar	0:2

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Nicolas Arseneault: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide