Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Curitiba (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday


	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo		Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.52	1.54
	2.44	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.31	1.57	Watch
	2.27	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.83)	1.55 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
39.9%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo's form might have worsened.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Prado Angelo will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Prado Angelo: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 280. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 325.

Prado Angelo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pucinelli De Almeida is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Prado Angelo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pucinelli De Almeida will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Prado Angelo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:1 ✺
20.10.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	Tristan Boyer - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
15.10.24	Gastao Elias - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW
- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
17.10.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Daniel Vallejo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Igor Gimenez - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Stephan Noale - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.03.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:1

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