Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Vicenza (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 May 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Germani A. (Ita)


	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo		Vilius Gaubas

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.6	1.45	Watch
	2.76	1.46
	2.76	1.47
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.61	1.46	Watch
	2.6	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.23)	1.45 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
35.3%

Vilius Gaubas
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Carlos Prado Angelo's form might have worsened.

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilius Gaubas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Vilius Gaubas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Prado Angelo will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Gaubas will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Gaubas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gaubas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
19.05.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
03.05.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
02.05.24	Mateus Alves - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	Alves M. retired ✺
30.04.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Dmitry Popko	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Jose Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LL?WW
- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
27.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Franco Roncadelli	2:1 ✺
22.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Daniel Masur	0:2 ✺
20.05.24	Vilius Gaubas - Evan Furness	2:0 ✺
13.05.24	Dmitry Popko - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWL

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