Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Gonzalo Bueno		Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.83	2.02
	1.64	2.21	Watch
	1.67	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.64)	2.08 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gonzalo Bueno
54.6%

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Prado Angelo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Preview

Bueno is ranked ATP: 241. Prado Angelo is ranked ATP: 259.

Bueno has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Prado Angelo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bueno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.6%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Hady Habib	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
26.09.25	Nicolas Kicker - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
25.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Francesco Maestrelli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWLW
- Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Andrea Collarini	2:1 ✺
07.10.25	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.06.25	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0
17.06.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2
03.05.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0

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