Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday


	Juan Estevez		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.71	2.02
	1.75	2.09
	1.71	2.04	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.68	2.03	Watch
	1.71	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 (1.71)	2.06 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Estevez
54.7%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Estevez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Estevez than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Estevez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Juan Estevez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 Games - Ambrogi (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ambrogi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Estevez is ranked ATP: 455. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 437.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ambrogi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Estevez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Estevez
ATP Challenger
20.01.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Juan Estevez	2:0 ✺
19.01.26	Juan Estevez - Bruno Kuzuhara	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Juan Estevez - Gabriel Schenekenberg	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Juan Estevez	2:1 ✺
13.01.26	Juan Estevez - Guido Ivan Justo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ITF Tournaments
24.01.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
22.01.26	Benjamin Torrealba - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Nicolas Villalon - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.01.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Juan Estevez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0

Juan Estevez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide