Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi		Andrea Collarini

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.42	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.28)	1.44 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
35.5%

Andrea Collarini
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrea Collarini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Andrea Collarini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 460. Collarini is ranked ATP: 272.

Recent performances by Ambrogi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Collarini is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Collarini might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Collarini will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ambrogi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
21.11.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Tristan McCormick - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.11.25	Juan Estevez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Tomas Martinez - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLW
- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
23.11.25	Gustavo Heide - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Maximo Zeitune	2:0 ✺
19.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Santiago De La Fuente	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.09.25	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1
24.04.25	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0
ITF Tournaments
21.02.25	Andrea Collarini - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Andrea Collarini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide