Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Buenos Aires 3 (Argentina), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Federico Agustin Gomez

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.64	2.29
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.6	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.81)	2.21 ↑ (1.88)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
57.7%

Federico Agustin Gomez
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Manuel Cerundolo's performance.

Federico Agustin Gomez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Agustin Gomez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (+5%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Agustin Gomez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 206. Gomez is ranked ATP: 158.

Cerundolo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Gomez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gomez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Agustin Gomez - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.12%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
29.09.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Daniel Vallejo	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Juan Ignacio Londero - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Matias Soto - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
24.09.24	Jose Pereira - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW
- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Chengdu
21.09.24	Federico Agustin Gomez - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Alexandre Muller - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
18.09.24	Beibit Zhukayev - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Vadym Ursu - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - Federico Agustin Gomez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWL

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