Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta (Chile), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Matias Soto		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.75	1.39	Watch
	3.04	1.4
	2.91	1.41	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.47)	1.4 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
33%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matias Soto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Matias Soto - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 308. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 206.

Soto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Soto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerundolo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Soto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.24	Matias Soto - Benjamin Lock	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
23.08.24	Matias Soto - Roberto Cid Subervi	2:1 ✺
22.08.24	Matias Soto - Sebastian Rodriguez	Rodriguez S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWW?
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Jose Pereira - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
19.09.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Samuel Heredia	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
20.08.24	Billy Harris - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.08.24	Alexandre Muller - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Santiago
25.02.24	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matias Soto	2:0
ATP Challenger
19.10.22	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Matias Soto	2:0

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