Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US OPEN (USA), HARD - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Ilya Ivashka		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.38	3
	1.38	2.9
	1.4	3.21
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.35	3.2	Watch
	1.39	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.32)	3.03 ↓ (3.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
68.6%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Ilya Ivashka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ivashka will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Ivashka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ivashka is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.23	Zhizhen Zhang - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.23	Alexei Popyrin - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
05.08.23	Ilya Ivashka - Yosuke Watanuki	Canceled ✺
ATP Los Cabos
04.08.23	Borna Coric - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
02.08.23	Borna Gojo - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LL?LW
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Winston-Salem
24.08.23	Borna Coric - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Omni Kumar	2:0 ✺
22.08.23	Yannick Hanfmann - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
20.08.23	Roman Safiullin - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
01.08.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWL

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