Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Max Houkes		Jelle Sels

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.4	2.81	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)	2.67 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
65.2%

Jelle Sels
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Houkes's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Max Houkes - Jelle Sels Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Houkes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Sels will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Houkes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 285. Sels is ranked ATP: 281.

Houkes is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sels is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Houkes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Houkes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Houkes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
11.04.25	Gauthier Onclin - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Laurent Lokoli - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Max Houkes - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
06.04.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Daniel Evans - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
31.03.25	Jelle Sels - Milos Karol	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Jelle Sels - Filippo Romano	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.04.23	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	2:0
ITF Tournaments
01.07.22	Max Houkes - Jelle Sels	1:2

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