Match Info

Date: 11 March 2021, Thursday


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.15	1.7	Watch
	2.04	1.72
	2.16	1.78
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.17	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.19)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
44.9%

Roberto Carballes Baena
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.3%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (74 of 91 users predict this - 81.32%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.31% – 89.33%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cerundolo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Santiago
09.03.21	Gonzalo Lama - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
28.02.21	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
27.02.21	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
26.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
25.02.21	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WWWWW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Santiago
08.03.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Salvatore Caruso	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
01.03.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
ATP Cordoba
25.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
23.02.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.02.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL

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