Match Info

Date: 1 March 2021, Monday


	Roberto Carballes Baena		Thiago Monteiro

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.95	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.39
	3.1	1.41
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.18)	1.41 ↑ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roberto Carballes Baena
32.5%

Thiago Monteiro
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

70%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roberto Carballes Baena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Monteiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Roberto Carballes Baena - Thiago Monteiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Carballes Baena will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Monteiro will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monteiro: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Monteiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carballes Baena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Cordoba
25.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
23.02.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.02.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Daniil Medvedev	0:3 ✺
09.02.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Attila Balazs	3:1 ✺
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
01.02.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL
- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Cordoba
26.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
25.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
23.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Joao Menezes	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
10.02.21	Andrey Rublev - Thiago Monteiro	3:0 ✺
08.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Andrej Martin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
25.02.21	Thiago Monteiro - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0
ATP Santiago
27.02.20	Thiago Monteiro - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0
ATP Challenger
23.11.17	Roberto Carballes Baena - Thiago Monteiro	0:2
15.11.17	Thiago Monteiro - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1
04.11.15	Roberto Carballes Baena - Thiago Monteiro	1:2

Roberto Carballes Baena - Thiago Monteiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide