Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Temuco, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Juan Manuel La Serna		Adhithya Ganesan

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.42	1.5
	2.46	1.57
	2.34	1.54	Watch
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.62)	1.52 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel La Serna
38.4%

Adhithya Ganesan
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Adhithya Ganesan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Manuel La Serna that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adhithya Ganesan than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adhithya Ganesan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Juan Manuel La Serna - Adhithya Ganesan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. La Serna will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ganesan will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ganesan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

La Serna is ranked ATP: 453. Ganesan is ranked ATP: 566.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ganesan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ganesan might have a minor edge in this game.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
09.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Facundo Mena	Canceled ✺
03.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.10.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ignacio Monzon - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LWLW
- Adhithya Ganesan
ATP Challenger
12.11.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Adhithya Ganesan	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Oliver Okonkwo - Adhithya Ganesan	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.11.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Ozan Baris	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Benito Sanchez Martinez	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Adhithya Ganesan - Lucas Britez Risso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWW

Juan Manuel La Serna - Adhithya Ganesan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide