Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Juan Manuel La Serna		Facundo Mena

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.73
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.04	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.08)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel La Serna
45.8%

Facundo Mena
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Juan Manuel La Serna - Facundo Mena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

La Serna is ranked ATP: 449. Mena is ranked ATP: 403.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

La Serna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Facundo Mena - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.47%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
03.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.10.25	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Ignacio Monzon - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
04.11.25	Nicolas Kicker - Facundo Mena	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.10.25	Taha Baadi - Facundo Mena	Mena F. retired ✺
30.09.25	Billy Suarez - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Facundo Mena - Andres Andrade	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LW?WL

Juan Manuel La Serna - Facundo Mena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide