Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sao Leopoldo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sao Leopoldo 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Juan Manuel La Serna		Gustavo Heide

	1	2
	4	1.22	Watch
			Watch
	3.95	1.21	Watch
	5.88	1.17
	4.82	1.15	Watch
	4	1.22	Watch
	4	1.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.37)	1.2 ↓ (1.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel La Serna
21.2%

Gustavo Heide
78.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.4%

72.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel La Serna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Manuel La Serna's form might have worsened.

Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gustavo Heide's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Juan Manuel La Serna - Gustavo Heide Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. La Serna will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Heide will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

La Serna is ranked ATP: 355. Heide is ranked ATP: 285.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Heide may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Heide is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Juan Manuel La Serna - the odds 3.37 are the expected chance of winning is 27.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Juan Manuel La Serna	Meligeni Alves F. Retired ✺
31.03.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Guido Ivan Justo	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Nicolas Villalon - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Felix Corwin - Juan Manuel La Serna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?WLWW
- Gustavo Heide
ATP Challenger
02.04.26	Gustavo Heide - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Gustavo Heide - Pedro Boscardin Dias	Arias B./Ingildsen J. Walkover ✺
23.03.26	Gustavo Heide - Roman Andres Burruchaga	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Gustavo Heide	Heide G. retired ✺
06.03.26	Eduardo Ribeiro - Gustavo Heide	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 W?L?L

Juan Manuel La Serna - Gustavo Heide