Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guayaquil, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Guayaquil 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Nick Hardt		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.24	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.63
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.21	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (2.19)	1.6 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nick Hardt
41.9%

Juan Manuel La Serna
58.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nick Hardt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Nick Hardt - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hardt is ranked ATP: 297., and La Serna is ranked ATP: 253..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Hardt could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

La Serna is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Hardt has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Hardt
ATP Challenger
20.10.26	Nick Hardt - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
12.10.26	Francisco Comesana - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Nick Hardt - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
05.10.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Nick Hardt	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Nick Hardt - Amr Asrawy	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLW?
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
23.10.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	1:2 ✺
21.10.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Juan Bautista Torres	2:0 ✺
20.10.26	Hugo Dellien - Juan Manuel La Serna	Dellien H. Retired ✺
17.10.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Juan Manuel La Serna - Franco Roncadelli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.06.26	Nick Hardt - Juan Manuel La Serna	Hardt N. Retired

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nick Hardt
ATP Challenger
30.10.26	Valerio Aboian - Nick Hardt	✺

Nick Hardt - Juan Manuel La Serna