Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Temuco, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Lautaro Midon		Juan Manuel La Serna

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3	Watch
	1.34	2.99
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	1.34	2.99	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.34)	2.75 ↓ (2.9)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
65.2%

Juan Manuel La Serna
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lautaro Midon - Juan Manuel La Serna Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). La Serna will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 266. La Serna is ranked ATP: 457.

Recent performances by Midon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

La Serna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

La Serna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Midon is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Midon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Lautaro Midon - Strong Kirchheimer	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Lautaro Midon - Andres Andrade	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Lautaro Midon - Tomas Zurmendi	Canceled ✺
03.11.25	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WW?LL
- Juan Manuel La Serna
ATP Challenger
26.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Lucio Ratti	2:1 ✺
25.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Adhithya Ganesan	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Facundo Mena	Canceled ✺
03.11.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Juan Manuel La Serna	1:2
ITF Tournaments
23.03.24	Lautaro Midon - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:0

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