Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Valerio Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.33	3.46
	1.3	3.18	Watch
	1.31	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.48)	3.22 ↑ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
71%

Valerio Aboian
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's performance.

Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valerio Aboian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valerio Aboian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Valerio Aboian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 410. Aboian is ranked ATP: 494.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pucinelli De Almeida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pucinelli De Almeida is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pucinelli De Almeida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.37%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
06.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Rafael Tosetto	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Joao Victor Couto Loureiro	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Lucio Ratti - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Wilson Leite	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Ezequiel Monferrer	Monferrer E. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLW?
- Valerio Aboian
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Valerio Aboian - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Valerio Aboian - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Valerio Aboian - Maximo Zeitune	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Valerio Aboian - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
18.02.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Valerio Aboian	2:0
ATP Challenger
12.03.24	Valerio Aboian - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Valerio Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide