Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/8-finalsDate: 7 May 2026, Thursday
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Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida |
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Valerio Aboian |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
71% | Valerio Aboian
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's performance.Valerio Aboian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valerio Aboian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valerio Aboian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 410. Aboian is ranked ATP: 494.Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.Pucinelli De Almeida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Pucinelli De Almeida is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pucinelli De Almeida won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
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Last Results with these Odds
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 62.37%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 18.02.25 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Valerio Aboian | 2:0 | | ATP Challenger | | | 12.03.24 | Valerio Aboian - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2:0 |
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