Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Valerio Aboian		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.85	Watch
	1.85	1.99
	1.81	1.89	Watch
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.87	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	1.89 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valerio Aboian
50.9%

Pedro Sakamoto
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Valerio Aboian - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aboian will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 494. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 426.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sakamoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aboian won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Sakamoto - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valerio Aboian
ITF Tournaments
30.04.26	Valerio Aboian - Juan Bautista Torres	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Valerio Aboian - Maximo Zeitune	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Valerio Aboian	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Valerio Aboian - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:1 ✺
15.04.26	Facundo Mena - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LWLWW
- Pedro Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
15.04.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Juan Bautista Torres	1:2 ✺
13.04.26	Franco Roncadelli - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Alvaro Guillen Meza	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Pedro Sakamoto - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.06.24	Valerio Aboian - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2

Valerio Aboian - Pedro Sakamoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide