Match Info

Date: 13 October 2021, Wednesday


	Juan Pablo Ficovich		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.5	1.28	Watch
	3.3	1.28
	3.35	1.26
	3.67	1.29
	3.5	1.29
	3.68	1.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.24)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Ficovich
26.8%

Sebastian Baez
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

70.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Ficovich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Ficovich than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Juan Pablo Ficovich - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Ficovich is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Baez is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ficovich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Ficovich
ATP Challenger
11.10.21	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Goncalo Oliveira	2:0 ✺
05.10.21	Nicolas Jarry - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
28.09.21	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Gerald Melzer	0:2 ✺
25.09.21	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
24.09.21	Johan Nikles - Juan Pablo Ficovich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Challenger
12.10.21	Nicolas Alvarez - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
10.10.21	Sebastian Baez - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
09.10.21	Sebastian Baez - Nicolas Jarry	2:0 ✺
08.10.21	Facundo Mena - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
06.10.21	Nick Chappell - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW

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