Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Gstaad (Switzerland), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4, SportKlub 5, SportKlub 6


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.06	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.82
	2.04	1.81	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.07	1.76	Watch
	2.06	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.07)	1.77 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
46.2%

Fabio Fognini
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.2%	0%	78.8%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: Fabio Fognini will win (26 of 32 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.73% – 94.77%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fognini is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Gstaad
15.07.24	Dominic Thiem - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
14.07.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Jerome Kym	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.24	Daniel Elahi Galan - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
09.07.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWLW
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Gstaad
15.07.24	Titouan Droguet - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Fabio Fognini	3:2 ✺
03.07.24	Fabio Fognini - Casper Ruud	3:1 ✺
01.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Fabio Fognini	Canceled ✺
01.07.24	Luca Van Assche - Fabio Fognini	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLW?W

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Fabio Fognini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide