The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roberto Bautista-Agut 53.4%
Fabio Fognini 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.4%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.9%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roberto Bautista-Agut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Roberto Bautista-Agut's form might have worsened.
Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fabio Fognini's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Roberto Bautista-Agut, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fabio Fognini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Roberto Bautista Agut - Fabio Fognini Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%). Fognini will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bautista-Agut: 49.8% – 83.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 1.
Bautista-Agut is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Fognini is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bautista-Agut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Bautista-Agut will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Bautista-Agut won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-19.