Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag (Croatia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Portugal	Sport TV5
Slovenia	SportKlub 1


	Luca Van Assche		Fabio Fognini

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.75
	2.08	1.73	Watch
	2.17	1.76
	2.13	1.75	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.08	1.75	Watch
	2.08	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 (2.09)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
45.6%

Fabio Fognini
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Fabio Fognini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	0%	88.6%

Luca Van Assche - Fabio Fognini Predictions

Users Predictions: Fabio Fognini will win (38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.79% – 97.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Van Assche could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Van Assche won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Bastad
16.07.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Luca Van Assche - Fabio Fognini	0:3 ✺
27.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Lucas Pouille	0:3 ✺
26.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Li Tu	2:1 ✺
24.06.24	Luca Van Assche - Calvin Hemery	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLW?
- Fabio Fognini
ATP Gstaad
19.07.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
17.07.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Fabio Fognini	1:2 ✺
15.07.24	Titouan Droguet - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.24	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Fabio Fognini	3:2 ✺
03.07.24	Fabio Fognini - Casper Ruud	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Luca Van Assche - Fabio Fognini	0:3

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