Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - Quarter-finalsDate: 10 July 2026, Friday
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Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio |
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Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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2.40 |
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1.50 |
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2.6 |
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1.44 |
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2.86 |
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1.47 |
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2.65 |
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1.42 |
Watch |
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2.8 |
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1.44 |
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2.66 |
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1.42 |
Watch |
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2.6 |
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1.44 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.02) |
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1.45 ↓
(1.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.00
- The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
35.3% | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
64.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's form might have worsened.Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (-12.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -3 Games - Pucinelli De Almeida (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Varillas is ranked ATP: 308. Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 397.In recent matches, Varillas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Pucinelli De Almeida is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).Pucinelli De Almeida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win. We predict that Pucinelli De Almeida will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Varillas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
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Last Results with these Odds
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.3%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 04.04.25 | Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 2:1 | | 10.03.25 | Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | 1:2 | | 11.03.22 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio | 0:2 |
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