Match Info

Date: 18 July 2022, Monday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Pavel Kotov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.87
	1.84	1.93
	1.85	1.85
	1.93	1.91
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.98	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.99)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
49.8%

Pavel Kotov
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Pavel Kotov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pavel Kotov than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.2%	0%	61.8%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Pavel Kotov Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Varillas will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). Kotov will win (votes: 21 - 61.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kotov: 45.5% – 78.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Varillas Patino-Samudio is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kotov is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kotov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Gstaad
17.07.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Vavassori	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
10.07.22	Federico Delbonis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.07.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yannick Hanfmann	Varillas J. P. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
20.06.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Maximilian Marterer	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.06.22	Borna Coric - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WL?LL
- Pavel Kotov
ATP Gstaad
17.07.22	Juan Ignacio Londero - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
11.07.22	Federico Delbonis - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
10.07.22	Pavel Kotov - Henri Laaksonen	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.22	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Pavel Kotov	3:1 ✺
20.05.22	Pedro Cachin - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.07.19	Pavel Kotov - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1

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