Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANREMO (ITALY), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 31 March 2023, Friday


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Andrea Vavassori

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
	1.64	2.2
	1.66	2.34
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.54	2.4	Watch
	1.62	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)	2.26 ↑ (2.03)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
58.3%

Andrea Vavassori
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's performance.

Andrea Vavassori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Vavassori might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Vavassori than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Vavassori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Andrea Vavassori Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (30 of 33 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.1% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Varillas Patino-Samudio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vavassori is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vavassori could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Varillas Patino-Samudio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
30.03.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
28.03.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Guido Pella - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.23	Nicolas Jarry - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
23.02.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWLLL
- Andrea Vavassori
ATP Challenger
30.03.23	Edoardo Lavagno - Andrea Vavassori	0:2 ✺
28.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Pavel Kotov	Kotov P. retired ✺
27.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Rudolf Molleker	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Gabriel Decamps	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gstaad
17.07.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Vavassori	2:0
ATP Challenger
04.06.19	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Vavassori	1:2

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Andrea Vavassori: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide