Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 11 January 2023, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio		Yosuke Watanuki

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.3
	3.25	1.34
	3.3	1.3
	3.43	1.33
	3.25	1.33
	3.36	1.3	Watch
	3.55	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.65)	1.31 ↓ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
28.1%

Yosuke Watanuki
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio's form might have worsened.

Yosuke Watanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yosuke Watanuki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yosuke Watanuki than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yosuke Watanuki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio - Yosuke Watanuki Predictions

Users Predictions: Yosuke Watanuki will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Varillas Patino-Samudio in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Watanuki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Watanuki will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Watanuki to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Australian Open
11.01.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
10.01.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Roberto Marcora	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.11.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Nicolas Bruna	Canceled ✺
20.11.22	Facundo Bagnis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
19.11.22	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WW?WW
- Yosuke Watanuki
ATP Australian Open
11.01.23	Mikhail Kukushkin - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
09.01.23	Philip Sekulic - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.23	Marton Fucsovics - Yosuke Watanuki	2:0 ✺
04.01.23	Norbert Gombos - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
03.01.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Yosuke Watanuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide