Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SANTIAGO (CHILE), CLAY - FINAL

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Facundo Bagnis		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
			Watch
	1.95	1.91
	1.95	1.92
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.88	1.86	Watch
	1.93	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.98)	1.86 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Bagnis
49.5%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Bagnis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Facundo Bagnis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Facundo Bagnis will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bagnis won 1.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Bagnis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
16.03.24	Gustavo Heide - Facundo Bagnis	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
12.03.24	Facundo Bagnis - Gerard Campana Lee	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.24	Juncheng Shang - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
16.03.24	Liam Draxl - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Francesco Passaro - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
13.03.24	Orlando Luz - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
11.03.24	Paul Jubb - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
29.02.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Gstaad
20.07.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Facundo Bagnis	2:0
ATP Challenger
20.11.22	Facundo Bagnis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2
02.04.22	Facundo Bagnis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0
ATP Cordoba
31.01.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Facundo Bagnis	2:1
ATP Challenger
11.10.19	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Facundo Bagnis	2:0
02.10.19	Facundo Bagnis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2

Facundo Bagnis - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide