Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Florianopolis, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Julia Riera		Polona Hercog

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.26	3.45	Watch
	1.29	3.72
	1.28	3.35	Watch
	1.27	3.56	Watch
	1.52	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.53)	3.32 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Julia Riera
71.6%

Polona Hercog
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Julia Riera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Julia Riera's performance.

Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polona Hercog might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Julia Riera - Polona Hercog Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Riera (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Riera (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Julia Riera will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Riera (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Riera is ranked WTA: 192. Hercog is ranked WTA: 913.

Hercog may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Riera is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Riera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Julia Riera - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.87%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Julia Riera
ATP Challenger
13.10.25	Julia Riera - Alice Rame	0:2 ✺
WTA Sao Paulo
10.09.25	Julia Riera - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Julia Riera - Vitalia Diatchenko	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
19.08.25	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Julia Riera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL
- Polona Hercog
WTA US Open
18.08.25	Polona Hercog - Tessah Andrianjafitrimo	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.08.25	Polina Iatcenko - Polona Hercog	2:0 ✺
08.08.25	Polona Hercog - Vendula Valdmannova	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Lina Glushko - Polona Hercog	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	Polona Hercog - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.12.23	Polona Hercog - Julia Riera	0:2

Julia Riera - Polona Hercog: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide