Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KNOXVILLE (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Juncheng Shang		Alexander Ritschard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.55	2.3
	1.52	2.4	Watch
	1.56	2.49
	1.56	2.49
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.4)	2.4 ↓ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
60.8%

Alexander Ritschard
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Alexander Ritschard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Ritschard than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Juncheng Shang - Alexander Ritschard Predictions

Users Predictions: Juncheng Shang will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

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Preview

Shang is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ritschard is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ritschard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shang will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Juncheng Shang	2:1 ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.23	Juncheng Shang - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
ATP Zhuhai
21.09.23	Juncheng Shang - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Omar Jasika - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
12.09.23	Mikalai Haliak - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLL?W
- Alexander Ritschard
ATP Challenger
03.11.23	Alexander Ritschard - Aidan Mayo	0:2 ✺
02.11.23	Michael Mmoh - Alexander Ritschard	0:2 ✺
31.10.23	Alexander Ritschard - Aidan McHugh	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Zachary Svajda - Alexander Ritschard	2:0 ✺
13.10.23	Alexander Ritschard - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLW

Juncheng Shang - Alexander Ritschard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide