Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: ZHUHAI (CHINA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Juncheng Shang		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.31	1.61
	2.33	1.65
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.34	1.6	Watch
	2.36	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.79)	1.6 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juncheng Shang
40.7%

Mackenzie McDonald
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juncheng Shang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juncheng Shang's performance.

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mackenzie McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juncheng Shang than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juncheng Shang that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackenzie McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Juncheng Shang - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Shang will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). McDonald will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

McDonald could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

McDonald will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juncheng Shang
ATP Challenger
13.09.23	Omar Jasika - Juncheng Shang	Shang J. retired ✺
12.09.23	Mikalai Haliak - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Juncheng Shang - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
08.09.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
07.09.23	Dane Sweeny - Juncheng Shang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?WLWW
- Mackenzie McDonald
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.23	Dino Prizmic - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Borna Gojo	0:3 ✺
28.08.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Mackenzie McDonald	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Adrian Mannarino	McDonald M. retired ✺
16.08.23	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Mackenzie McDonald	Rune H. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLW??

Juncheng Shang - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide